Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Trevor LawrencePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Texans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 255.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 255.5 (-110) after it opened @ 243.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projection model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average).
- The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (259.0 per game) versus the Houston Texans defense this year.
Cons
- As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston’s collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
280
Passing Yards
280
Passing Yards
