Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Lamar Jackson from EV Insight

Lamar JacksonPassing Yards

Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-133/-103).

The public has bet the OVER up to 237.5 (-133) after it opened @ 231.5 (-117).

Pros

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.
When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year.
Lamar Jackson’s 217.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year conveys an impressive growth in his throwing skills over last year’s 191.0 mark.

Cons

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 33.2 passes in this week’s game, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Projection

THE BLITZ
240
Passing Yards