Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-121/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 222.5 (-121) after it opened @ 209.5 (-115).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the worst unit in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-least yards in the NFL (just 189.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, conceding 7.24 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
255
Passing Yards