Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-114) after it opened @ 233.5 (-114).

Pros

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Packers being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 64.3% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 37.7 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by the model to call only 61.9 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
With a lackluster 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) this year, Jordan Love places among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the NFL against the Detroit Lions defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).
The Lions defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
274
Passing Yards