Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (+100/-122).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 220.5 (-122) after it opened @ 232.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts has passed for significantly more yards per game (229.0) this year than he did last year (194.0).
Jalen Hurts’s passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.3% to 67.5%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 7.89 yards-per-target while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Cons

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.8 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
204
Passing Yards