Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 245.5 (-125) after it opened @ 239.5 (-117).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 5th-most plays in the league have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
The Philadelphia offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts’s 69.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys an impressive growth in his passing precision over last year’s 66.0% rate.
Jalen Hurts profiles as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the tough Bills defense has allowed the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 4.1 YAC.
The Bills cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
225
Passing Yards