Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight

Brock PurdyPassing Yards

Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 251.5 (-130) after it opened @ 251.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
Brock Purdy has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (266.0) this year than he did last year (151.0).
Brock Purdy’s 71.1% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial growth in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 66.4% figure.
Brock Purdy’s 9.68 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a substantial progression in his throwing efficiency over last season’s 8.0% figure.
This year, the deficient Seahawks defense has allowed a colossal 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-most in football.

Cons

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).
In this game, Brock Purdy is anticipated by the model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.6.

Projection

THE BLITZ
240
Passing Yards