Pros
- This week’s line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.36 seconds per snap.
- The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to notch 18.3 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Travis Etienne has been a more integral piece of his offense’s running game this season (67.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (51.6%).
- Travis Etienne has picked up 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (90th percentile).
Cons
- The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.
- The Jacksonville O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.
- Travis Etienne’s 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates an impressive regression in his running talent over last year’s 5.1 figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards