Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Packers vs. Chargers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 240.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 240.5 (-127) after it opened @ 226.5 (-117).
Pros
- This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
- The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 36.1 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year.
- The Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Green Bay Packers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
- Jordan Love rates as one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 60.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards
245
Passing Yards
