Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Rams vs. Seahawks
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Rams to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
- Tyler Higbee has gone out for fewer passes this season (84.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (69.7%).
- In this week’s game, Tyler Higbee is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.2 targets.
Cons
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Tyler Higbee has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
- Tyler Higbee’s 64.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material decrease in his receiving prowess over last year’s 67.6% mark.
- The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards
25
Receiving Yards
