Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Tonyan from EV Insight

Robert TonyanReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Tonyan’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-125) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing offenses have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accrue 4.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has been a key part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.5% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile among TEs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Robert Tonyan has been among the top TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 34.0 yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

Cons

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Robert Tonyan has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
Robert Tonyan’s pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, notching just 7.33 yards-per-target vs a 8.76 rate last year.
Robert Tonyan’s skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 4.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 rate last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards