NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Texans vs. Cardinals
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 52.5 (-115) after it opened @ 50.5 (-122).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Houston Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
- The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
- The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to total 6.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
- Dalton Schultz has posted quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (46.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive strategy to tilt 1.4% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
- With a 5.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
- At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Houston Texans.
- Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.6 per game) this year.
- This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a feeble 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 4th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards
47
Receiving Yards
