Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accumulate 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Amari Cooper has been a more important option in his offense’s air attack this season (24.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.8%).
The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (165.0) to wide receivers this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per snap.
Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.7%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards