Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Bills vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accumulate 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
- Amari Cooper has been a more important option in his offense’s air attack this season (24.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.8%).
- The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (165.0) to wide receivers this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.3% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per snap.
- Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.7%.
- The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
