Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 181.5 yards (-114/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 181.5 (-115) after it opened @ 187.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.50 yards-per-target while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
The Green Bay Packers defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.86 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in the league.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 29.7 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
191
Passing Yards