Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Giants vs. Lions
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 191.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 191.5 (-110) after it opened @ 194.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
- Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a terrific 66.7% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 7th-most yards in the league (260.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (73.5%).
Cons
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 28.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
180
Passing Yards
180
Passing Yards
