NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bengals vs. Texans
Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-103) after it opened @ 45.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (41.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.
- This week, Devin Singletary is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.6 rush attempts.
- While Devin Singletary has been responsible for 27.6% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Houston’s rushing attack in this week’s game at 69.7%.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- Our trusted projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The Houston offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.
- Devin Singletary’s 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a substantial diminishment in his running prowess over last season’s 54.0 figure.
- Devin Singletary’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a significant diminishment in his running prowess over last season’s 4.8 rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards
80
Rushing Yards
