Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Robert WoodsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Titans vs. Broncos
Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-133/-103).
The public has bet the OVER up to 36.5 (-133) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- Robert Woods has been a key part of his team’s offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.4% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
- The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
- The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
- Robert Woods has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
- Robert Woods has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards
45
Receiving Yards
