Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tanner Hudson from EV Insight

Tanner HudsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Tanner Hudson’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-139/+102).

The public has bet the OVER up to 15.5 (-139) after it opened @ 14.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per snap.
The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (55.0) vs. tight ends this year.
The Houston Texans safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Cons

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Tanner Hudson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing just 59.6% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
17
Receiving Yards