NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Raiders vs. Jets
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
- The model projects Davante Adams to accrue 9.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- With a sizeable 32.5% Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Davante Adams places among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
- When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the projection model to run only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 33.5 per game) this year.
- Davante Adams has put up a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
