Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Bryce Young from EV Insight

Bryce YoungPassing Yards

Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 218.5 (-109) after it opened @ 222.5 (-117).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive approach to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (273.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Panthers to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
In this contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.2.
In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Bryce Young comes in as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 3rd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
190
Passing Yards