Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 208.5 yards (-101/-135).

The public has bet the OVER up to 208.5 (-101) after it opened @ 202.5 (-115).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
Kenny Pickett’s 60.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material diminishment in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 64.9% mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
238
Passing Yards