Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bryce YoungPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bears vs. Panthers
Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 218.5 (-109) after it opened @ 222.5 (-117).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive approach to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
- A throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
- The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (273.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense this year.
Cons
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Panthers to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- In this contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.2.
- In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
- Bryce Young comes in as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 3rd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
190
Passing Yards
190
Passing Yards
