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Denver Broncos DVOA, Stats, & NFL Rankings
Team Profile
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-0.4% 16thOff DVOA
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15.7% 15thPassing DVOA
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-12% 22ndRushing DVOA
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-12.4% 4thDef DVOA
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-5.2% 5thDef Passing DVOA
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-24.4% 1stDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For26.2 9th
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Points Against19.0 3rd
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Yards Per Game325.0 19th
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Yards Allowed Per Game317.0 7th
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Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams has a great matchup in Week 15 against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, but he's still hard to trust as a flex option in fantasy leagues in the first round of the playoffs. Williams leads the team in carries (124), rushing yards (446) and rushing touchdowns (four), but he's averaging a mere 3.6 yards per carry and is now no longer the clear leader of the backfield after Jaleel McLaughlin saw a team-high 14 carries in the Week 13 win over the Browns. In the last four games, Williams has just 22 rushing attempts for 59 yards (2.69 yards per tote) and two TDs. The Colts defense has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game (147) and fourth-most half-PPR points per game to RBs, so Denver's ground game could have a rare good performance. However, Williams isn't guaranteed to see lead-back volume, making him a tough-to-trust RB3/flex in deeper fantasy leagues.
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Denver Broncos running back Jaleel McLaughlin has an excellent matchup upcoming in Week 15 against an Indianapolis Colts defense that has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game (147) and the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points to RBs this year. With that said, McLaughlin is still a tough-to-trust flex option for fantasy managers in 14-plus-team leagues given the uncertainty in Denver's backfield. After looking like the RB3 for the Broncos just several weeks ago, McLaughlin played a season-high 36% of the snaps in the Week 13 win over the Browns and led the backfield with a season-high 14 carries for a season-high 84 yards. On seven carries the week prior, he led the team with 44 yards on the ground. Javonte Williams (45% snap share) last week and rookie Audric Estime remain involved, and Denver's ground game just has not been spectacular all season long. McLaughlin will need to be efficient and lead the team in carries, which is not a given, to return value as an RB3/flex in Week 15.
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Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton had a slow start to the season as rookie quarterback Bo Nix got acclimated to the NFL, but the veteran wideout has come on strong since a zero-target Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints and has ascended to must-start status in fantasy entering a pivotal Week 15 contest in Denver against the Indianapolis Colts. Since Week 8, Sutton has gone on a tear, catching 42 of 57 targets for 569 yards and three touchdowns. The 29-year-old is tied as the WR12 in overall half-PPR points in 2024, but in the last five weeks, he's been the WR9. He hit the century mark in receiving yards for the third time in last week's win over the Browns and scored twice the previous week. Indy's defense has been stingy against opposing wideouts in their last four games, allowing the fourth-fewest PPR points per game to the position, but Sutton's high target share in Denver gives him a safe floor.
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Going into a Week 15 game with all kinds of playoff implications this Sunday in Denver against the visiting Indianapolis Colts, Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix will maintain low-end QB1 appeal in the first round of the fantasy playoffs in most leagues. The 24-year-old 12th overall pick out of Oregon ranks as the No. 15 QB in overall fantasy points through 14 weeks in his first NFL season, and he's also been the QB15 in the last five games, throwing for 1,089 yards on 140 pass attempts with nine touchdowns and only two interceptions. The young signal-caller did throw two picks in last week's thrilling win over the Cleveland Browns -- his first two INTs since throwing one in Week 9 -- but he fell just shy of 300 yards passing and has at least 273 passing yards in the last three games. Nix has plenty of upside against a Colts defense that has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to QBs per game in 2024.
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While Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz didn't go off like he did in the Week 12 win over the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders, he was still very solid for fantasy managers in the 41-32 victory over the visiting Cleveland Browns on Monday night in Week 13. Lutz stayed on point by making both of his field-goal attempts (long of 36 yards) and all five of his extra points for 11 total points on the evening in a game where both defenses looked gassed. With yet another strong performance on Monday night, Lutz now ranks third among all kickers in 2024 in overall fantasy points and has double-digit fantasy points in back-to-back contests. The Broncos will head on their bye in Week 14 before facing the Colts at home in Week 15, where Lutz should remain a top-10 option for fantasy managers at the kicking position. The 30-year-old has missed just three of 29 field-goal tries and made all of his 31 extra points.
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