Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We have a full day of NBA action on Sunday. The Bucks and Suns face off in a standalone game at 1 p.m., followed by three games with 3 p.m. starts, and a solid five-game slate that begins at 6 p.m. We have quite a bit of injury information, which leaves some of the prop tables and totals off the board.
Remember to check out the FTNBets discord for updates on those games as they become available. For now, here are my three best bets for Sunday’s NBA action.
Best NBA Points Prop Bets
Dejounte Murray OVER 19.5 points
Dejounte Murray has played five games this season without John Collins in the lineup. One game he played just four minutes before leaving early. The other four games he scored 34, 24, 20 and 25 points. That means he has been over in each of these games when he plays significant minutes. De’Andre Hunter should see a boost in minutes, but he isn’t much of a scorer. That means guys like Murray and Trae Young will have to pick up the scoring slack. The Nets have been torched lately despite fielding a somewhat defensive-minded team.
Kyle Kuzma OVER 21.5
Kyle Kuzma is as high as 23.5 at -120 on multiple other books. Yes, the Caesars payout here is only -125, but it is a full two points below where it is on a consensus number elsewhere. Kuzma averages 25.5 points in games without Kristaps Porzingis this season. Porzingis went down late in the last contest and is already listed out today.
Best NBA 3-Point Prop Bet
Isaiah Joe OVER 3.5 3-pointers made
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is going to be out again, and that leaves a huge hole in the Thunder’s offense. The last three times SGA has been out, Isaiah Joe has really stepped up in the scoring department. Against solid Memphis, Phoenix and Boston defenses, Joe put up at least 21 points in each game. He knocked down 14-of-27 three-point field goal attempts in those three games, finishing with no less than three while going over this number in each of the other two with five and six makes. At the very least, this number shouldn’t be at +134 given the projected pace and a soft Sacramento defense that gives up the second-highest effective field goal percentage of any team in the NBA.
