The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (8/31)

Each day, we are going to give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals betting breakdown

Phillies (+100), Nationals (-118)
Total: 8.5 runs

Matt Moore (L) vs. Patrick Corbin (L)

Three things to know

The Phillies have struggled on offense recently—both their team wOBA (.312) and ISO (.174) have been mediocre.
The Nationals have been similar to their NL East rivals — they’ve recorded a slightly better wOBA (.323) — but have always been tough to strike out (21.2%).
This feels like an easy over smash — these hurlers are struggling.

Best bets: The OVER. Expect some fireworks, and even look at some homer props.

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays betting breakdown

Orioles (+250), Blue Jays (-310)
Total: 9.5 runs
Keegan Akin (L) vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)

Three things to know

The Orioles have been mediocre in the last month with a 23.4% strikeout rate and .315 wOBA.
The Orioles have won ONE Akin start this season.
The Jays have been struggling — they are actually in the bottom 10 in wOBA in the last month.

Best bets: The moneyline odds reflect how heavy we should be betting Toronto. Smash them in a same-game parlay.

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Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers betting breakdown

Athletics (-118), Tigers (+100)

Total: 9.0 runs

Cole Irvin (L) vs. Tarik Skubal (L)

Three things to know

The Athletics may have saved their season winning the last two games of the Yankees series.
The A’s have been cooking at the dish recently — they are 11th in team wOBA in the last month.
The Tigers have stunk at the dish in the last 30 days — they rank in the bottom three in walk rate, ISO and wOBA.

Best bets: The OVER. Both hurlers are struggling lately and that will aid the offenses.

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Colorado Rockies at Texas Rangers betting breakdown

Rockies (-134), Rangers (+114)

Total: 9.0 runs

Austin Gomber (L) vs. Jordan Lyles (R)

Three things to know

The Rockies have been COOKING at the dish — they rank second in team wOBA (.348).
Jordan Lyles has been awful this season, majorly dinged by the long ball.
The Rangers have been the inverse — in the last month, they rank fourth-worst in team wOBA.

Best bets: The Rockies have been really good as of late — put them in a same game parlay.

Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins betting breakdown

Cubs (+130), Twins (-154)

Total: 9.5 runs

Zach Davies (R) vs. John Gant (R)

Three things to know

The Cubs have a weird profile in the last month — they rank 20th in team wOBA with a whopping 30.8% whiff rate.
The Twins held their own for a bit, but in the last month, they are 18th in team wOBA (.318).
Zach Davies has to keep the ball in the yard — he’s allowed 2.05 HR/9 in his last 12 outings.

Best bets: Pound the Twins and some home run props here.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox betting breakdown

Pirates (+290), White Sox (-360)
Total: 8.5 runs

Bryse Wilson (R) vs. Lucas Giolito (R)

Three things to know

The White Sox are smoking — they have a .184 ISO and .334 wOBA in the last month.
The Pirates are the league’s worst offense in the same time frame in terms of walk rate, ISO and wOBA.
Lucas Giolito has been strong in his last five starts — 32 whiffs in 29 innings with a 0.97 WHIP.

Best bets: The Sox — they are white hot at the dish, and Giolito has been outstanding.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels betting breakdown

Yankees (-196), Angels (+164)
Total: 9.5 runs
Jameson Taillon (R) vs. Jaime Barria (R)

Three things to know

The Yankees need to wake up at the plate — their .163 ISO and 24.6% whiff rate is ugly over the last month.
The Angels are smack dab in the middle offensively over the same time frame, ranking 15th in wOBA and ISO.
Jameson Taillon has gotten blasted in back-to-back starts — can he fix this?

Best bets: The Angels are bad, but I do expect runs here as both pitchers have not been at their best. Bet the over.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks betting breakdown

Padres (-168), Diamondbacks (+142)
Total: 8.0 runs
Blake Snell (L) vs. Zac Gallen (R)

Three things to know

Can San Diego climb back in the race? The NL West is a pipe dream (15.5 games out), but they are still hunting a Wild Card spot.
After a huge game in his return from the IL, Fernando Tatis Jr. has slumped to a .133/.235/.333 line in 11 games. The Padres have a .304 wOBA and .139 ISO in the last month.
.Zac Gallen has a strange profile — he is whiffing plenty of batters (27.5%) but he’s also allowed 1.48 HR/9.

Best bets: The Padres have been sinking, and fast. I like the underdog here in consecutive days

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners betting breakdown

Mariners (+146), Astros (-174)
Total: 8.0 runs

Yusei Kikuchi (L) vs. Lance McCullers (R)

Three things to know

Lance McCullers could be ascending to ace status — but the 4.24 BB/9 has to get reduced.
The Astros have heated back up at the dish — their .327 wOBA in the last month has them at 11th in the league.
A .311 wOBA (Mariners) isn’t anything great, but it’s a big improvement over their last 30 days.

Best bets: I like the UNDER. These offenses aren’t great, and the pitchers are outstanding.

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Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers betting breakdown

Braves (+168), Dodgers (-200)
Total: 8.0 runs

Charlie Morton (R) vs. Walker Buehler (R)

Three things to know

The Dodgers keep rolling — they’ve posted a .178 ISO and .325 wOBA mark over the last 30 days.
The Braves are neck and neck with the Dodgers, logging a .187 ISO and .324 wOBA over the same time frame.
Walker Buehler is likely a top-5 Cy Young candidate — he’s posted a 3.04 FIP this season.

Best bets: The UNDER. I think these pitchers hold the offenses down.