Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tuesday’s MLB slate has 15 games, which means there are plenty of props to choose from. I found four props that are mispriced on PrizePicks Tuesday so you can take advantage. But move fast — PrizePicks lines move with the action.
Let’s dive into the MLB board and let’s look at props on PrizePicks with value. Be sure to use PrizePicks promo code FTN for a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Tuesday 6/21
Tony Gonsolin Over 5 Strikeouts
Tony Gonsolin will make the start for the Dodgers Tuesday in Cincinnati. Gonsolin has had five or more strikeouts in eight consecutive starts coming into this game. The last time he faced the Reds, Gonsolin only had two strikeouts, but that was in April and over just four innings of work. The Reds have struck out 268 times at home this season and 144 times against righties. This is a great spot for Gonsolin to control the Reds lineup and rack up five-plus strikeouts.
Mets/Astros yes to score in the first inning
The Mets and the Astros have two of the better offenses in baseball, and I expect there to be runs in the first inning in their matchup Tuesday. Trevor Williams is making the start for the Mets against the Astros’ José Urquidy. The Mets have scored 50 runs in the first inning this season, third in the MLB, and Urquidy has allowed a first-inning run in five of his starts this season. The Astros have scored just 30 runs in the first inning this season, but they have a .772 OPS in the first this year.
José Ramírez Over 1.5 Hits + Walks
José Ramírez is arguably the best hitter in baseball this season and has been the driving force of the Guardians’ offense this season. He will face Joe Ryan of the Twins Tuesday, who is making his second start since coming off the COVID-IL. Ramírez took Ryan yard in their matchup in May and also walked, and I expect him to have similar results here and to cover this line.
Tyler Mahle Under 101.5 Pitches Thrown
Tyler Mahle has gone over this pitch count total in his last eight starts, but he has not faced an offense even close to as good as the Dodgers’ offense during that stretch. While Mahle has shown great competitive spirit by pitching late into games, he should not hit the 100-pitch mark. The Dodgers have a team OPS of .747 on the season and a .757 OPS against right-handed pitching. I expect the Dodgers to hit Mahle early and limit his ability to pitch deep into the ballgame.
The PrizePicks Props and Picks Show from FTN Daily
FTN’s Kyle Murray offered up some more picks on The PrizePicks Prop Show for Tuesday’s MLB slate. Check it out:
Check out FTN Daily’s free PrizePicks Pick Tracker
We offer a free PrizePicks Pick Tracker so you can see what the analysts at FTN are playing each day.
Find More MLB Player Props on PrizePicks
Player props have become one of the hottest markets in baseball, and PrizePicks offers the perfect balance for daily fantasy players to get in on the MLB player prop action for real money.
Users can select up to five props to combine into a parlay and users can select whether they want the selection to be a “power play” or a “flex play.”
A “power play” means all selections in the PrizePicks pick need to hit and there is a multiplier for the number of events involved. Here’s the “power play” breakdown:
- Pick 2, and if you get them both right, you win 3x your entry fee
- Pick 3, and if you get them all right win 5x your entry fee
- Pick 4, and if you get them all right win 10x your entry fee
Here’s the “flex play” breakdown:
- Pick 5 players: Go 5-of-5 to win 10x, go 4-of-5 to win 2x, or go 3-of-5 to win 0.4x
- Pick 4 players: Go 4-of-4 to win 5x, go 3-of-4 to win 1.5x
- Pick 3 players: Go 3-of-3 to win 2.25x, go 2-of-3 to win 1.25x
- Pick 2 players: Go 2-of-2 to win 2x, go 1-of-2 to win 0.5x
In MLB, PrizePicks offers props like NRFI/YRFI, fantasy score, hits/RBIs, strikeouts, pitching outs, and more. This wide variety of different prop markets makes PrizePicks exciting and also exploitable.
Keep in mind that PrizePicks is not like a traditional sportsbook that has different pricing for each prop. On PrizePicks, the line you see is the line you get, and you must parlay at least two picks to lock in your fantasy plays.
