Alex Blickle's Articles

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament — like this week’s Shriners Children’s Open — provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

Round 3 Showdown is where things start to get tricky in terms of balancing a player’s play through two rounds with their baseline talent level and expectation coming into the event. We don’t want to overweight just two rounds of golf, but we also can’t ignore their current form or comfort level with the golf […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.   A great analogy is to […]

What more could we ask for at the Sanderson Farms Championship? We have a great course fit model, it feels like the true beginning to the 2023 season, and a handful of my personal favorite players are in the field.   Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

With only weeks to go before the start of the NFL season, I got a message from Kevin Adams: “I have an idea for a new article. I want you to write it. It’s genius.”   And so, The Chalk Report was born. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season progresses — […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament — like this week’s Sanderson Farms Championship — provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.   A great analogy is to […]

We’re flying blind, friends. Well, kind of. There are no ownership projections for this one, but we do have multiple ways to gauge the matchups. Course Fit First, a reminder of the course fit model this week: My expected strokes gained projections stem from this course fit model (as well as baseline talent models), which […]

Last season’s Ryder Cup was a successful one for me, as Dustin Johnson as a lightly rostered captain led me to a takedown. Unfortunately, the path doesn’t seem to be as simple as stacking a low-rostered American team that was both more talented than the Europeans and playing on a course that perfectly fit their […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament — even this week’s unique event, the President’s Cup — provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want […]

With only weeks to go before the start of the NFL season, I got a message from Kevin Adams: “I have an idea for a new article. I want you to write it. It’s genius.” And so, The Chalk Report was born. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season progresses — who […]

The key difference between large, Sunday main slates and these smaller primetime slates is the concentration of ownership. Instead of the chalk being around 25%, it can get as high as 75%. Consequently, leveraging the chalk becomes even more powerful, and doing so in purposeful ways, like through the use of correlated leverage, can quickly vault […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.   A great analogy is to […]

Round 4 is always a challenge – how much does baseline talent matter vs finishing position bonus equity? Do we get different at the top or by fading values in contention?  Of course, the answers vary week to week, and this week is perhaps tougher than most since there’s more uncertainty surrounding the new Tour […]

Round 3 Showdown is where things start to get tricky in terms of balancing a player’s play through two rounds with their baseline talent level and expectation coming into the event. We don’t want to overweight just two rounds of golf, but we also can’t ignore their current form or comfort level with the golf […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10%.   Rostership percentages come from the DFS roster projections […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

Data in baseball runs deeper and is more comprehensive than in any other sport. In fact, there are so many stats that, in virtually every matchup, you can find a stat to favor each side. Rather, we want to find stats that are fully supported by the collection of data, painting one clear picture.   […]

Welcome back, PGA Tour golf! With so much uncertainty throughout the KFT graduates, there’s plenty of room for Hot Takes at The Fortinet Championship. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament — like this week’s Fortinet Championship — provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself […]

About a month ago, I got a message from our CEO, Kevin Adams: “I have an idea for a new article. I want you to write it. It’s genius.” And so, The Chalk Report was born. Essentially, this article will answer two questions as the season progresses — who is hitting and who is failing […]

Data in baseball runs deeper and is more comprehensive than in any other sport. In fact, there are so many stats that, in virtually every matchup, you can find a stat to favor each side.    Rather, we want to find stats that are fully supported by the collection of data, painting one clear picture. […]

This will be the main-slate GPP breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on DraftKings and […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.   A great analogy is to […]

This will be the main-slate MLB GPP DFS breakdown article, giving you a clear and concise way to approach the slate in your tournament lineups. By giving you our clear pitcher and stack rankings, along with our key pieces and slate edge, you should have the quick-hitting information needed to build some strong lineups on […]