Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Bets NFL Articles
NFL
Bets
New York Jets Week 12 odds and betting picks
After all of the confidence going into the Week as only 3.5-point favorites, the Jets were unable to cover in Week 11 with a 24 to 17 loss to the Dolphins. With the quarterback situation still in flux, the Jets head into Week 12 as 2.5-point underdogs on the road against the equally abysmal Houston […]
Joe Metz
NFL
Bets
Week 12 Game-by-Game DFS Breakdown: Thanksgiving Slate
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown, Thanksgiving day edition. In this writeup, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests with everything from cash […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 12
We have made it to the Thanksgiving week of the NFL season. This is always a big week, as it marks the beginning of the stretch run to the playoffs. The NFL extended the regular season by one week this year, but that doesn’t change things much. After this week, we have about one-third of […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL DraftKings betting picks
Across the sports betting market, there tends to be strong uniformity in NFL sides, totals and moneylines — but not total uniformity. Using our NFL odds page to lineshop, I’ve identified the following three lines that right now offer the most value at DraftKings Sportsbook relative to the rest of the market. For all of […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Week 11 Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown for NFL Week 11. In this write-up, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests with everything from […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
Thanksgiving Day NFL Betting Odds, Picks, and Trends
Thanksgiving is one of the best days of the year. Not only do we get to stuff our faces while spending time with friends and family, but we get to do it with a full day of football on television. As has become the norm, we have three games on tap for Thanksgiving this season. […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Denver Broncos Week 11 odds and betting picks
The Denver Broncos are suddenly alive in the AFC West, and at 5-5 in the standings, they only trail the Chiefs by one game for the division lead. The AFC West is in a bit of disarray with the Chiefs early struggles and the Broncos still have a lot of divisional games coming up. The […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Tennessee Titans Week 11 odds and betting picks
The Tennessee Titans sit at 8-2 in the NFL standings with three great wins over the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams in what is now a six-game winning streak. They now host the Houston Texans in Week 11, have a commanding lead in the AFC South standings and are huge home […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
New York Giants Week 11 Odds and Betting Picks
The New York Giants may not be considered a true contender for Super Bowl 56 but by playing in the NFC East, anything is possible if you get into the playoffs (big if). The G-Men are still hoping to make an impact in 2021 and got their third win of the season over the Las […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 11
Ten weeks of NFL football games are in the books. This year, the NFL season spans 18 weeks, so the second half is firmly underway. The remaining eight weeks of action will decide who gets to go on to the playoffs and who will be enjoying some rest and relaxation. The 10 weeks of data […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Betting NFL Props Using Math: Week 10
The goal of this article is, of course, to provide winning picks. However, it’s also to provide a blueprint on how to cleverly bet props with math. We’re targeting small same-game parlays that underestimate the correlation involved. We’ve upgraded our Offensive Efficiency Report to include: Projected adjusted completion percentage Pace projections in any game script […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 10 Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown for Week 10 of the NFL season. In this writeup, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 10
We have officially passed the halfway mark of the NFL season. We are also coming off one of the wackiest weeks we have had all year. Books made an absolute killing in Week 9, as top teaser and parlay pieces like the Bills and Rams lost outright. Other popular plays like the Chiefs and Ravens […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Betting NFL Props Using Math: Week 9
The goal of this article is, of course, to provide winning picks. However, it’s also to provide a blueprint on how to cleverly bet props with math. We’re targeting small same-game parlays that underestimate the correlation involved. On the season, we’re now 6-22 (+0.11 units) on the same-game parlays from this article. Ezekiel Elliott anytime […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL DraftKings betting picks
Across the sports betting market, there tends to be strong uniformity in NFL sides, totals and moneylines — but not total uniformity. Using our NFL odds page to lineshop, I’ve identified the following three lines that right now offer the most value at DraftKings Sportsbook relative to the rest of the market. For all of […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Week 9 Game-by-Game DFS Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game NFL DFS breakdown. In this writeup, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests with everything from cash to your […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 9
The best way to describe Week 8 of NFL action is with a cheesy ‘90s song. “Who let the dogs out?” was the theme of this week as favorites and chalk bettors got crushed. Not just against the spread either — they got crushed ATS And outright in Week 8. We did not have a […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL DraftKings betting picks for Week 8
Across the sports betting market, there tends to be strong uniformity in NFL sides, totals and moneylines — but not total uniformity. Using our NFL odds page to lineshop, I’ve identified the following three lines that right now offer the most value at DraftKings Sportsbook relative to the rest of the market. For all of […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Week 8 Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown for Week 8 of the NFL season. In this writeup, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 8
Coming into this week, favorites have been on a roll. They had been the better side in each of the last two weeks and have outpaced underdogs with a 3-2-1 record through the first six weeks. That record moved to 4-2-1 after another strong showing in Week 7. We saw seven favorites cover the spread […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL DraftKings betting picks for Week 7
Across the sports betting market, there tends to be strong uniformity in NFL sides, totals and moneylines — but not total uniformity. Using our NFL odds page to lineshop, I’ve identified the following three lines that right now offer the most value at DraftKings Sportsbook relative to the rest of the market. For my best Week 7 […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Betting NFL Props Using Math: Week 8
The goal of this article is, of course, to provide winning NFL props picks. However, it’s also to provide a blueprint on how to cleverly bet props with math. We’re targeting small same-game parlays that underestimate the correlation involved. On the season, we’re now 6-20 (+2.11 units) on the same-game parlays from this article. Let’s […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 7 Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown for Week 7. In this writeup, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests with everything from cash […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 7
We now have six full weeks of NFL action in the books. Week 6 started the bye weeks, which meant fewer games throughout the league. We had a lot of games come down to the final drive, even the final play, in order to get a winner or loser. That just goes to show how […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Monday Night Football Betting Breakdown – Week 8
Week 8 comes to a close with a Monday Night Football showdown between the New York Giants and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are coming off one of the most surprising results of the year last week. Not only did they lose to the Titans, they managed just three points on offense. Three! I […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Betting NFL Props Using Math: Week 6
The goal of this article is, of course, to provide winning picks. However, it’s also to provide a blueprint on how to cleverly bet props with math. We’re targeting small same-game parlays that underestimate the correlation involved. On the season, we’re now 4-13 (+1.75 units) on the same-game parlays from this article. Let’s see if […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Week 6 Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Welcome to the game-by-game DFS breakdown for Week 6. In this write-up, I’ll walk you through the players, stacks, one-offs, etc., that I’ll be targeting weekly in DFS. My aim here is that you can apply this encyclopedia of stats and my word vomit to a variety of sites and contests with everything from cash […]
Derek Brown
NFL
Bets
NFL best bets for Week 6
I tend to bet sides and totals early in the week — usually Sunday night or Monday morning — in the expectation that lines will move as the week progresses. You can find all my bets in the FTN Bet Tracker. Use the promo code FREEDMAN to get 20% off your FTN subscription. Given the line […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
NFL betting trends entering Week 6
The results of Week 5 around the NFL are in, and it was a more straightforward week of NFL betting. Good teams won a lot of games. The ones that did lose lost to other good teams. We did have a few upsets, but they were not massive surprises. We had a few almost upsets […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Monday Night Football Betting Breakdown
Week 5 comes to a close with a Monday Night Football showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens. The Colts managed to get in the win column last week with a victory over the Dolphins, while the Ravens have racked up three wins through their first four games. The Ravens are the clear better […]
Matt LaMarca
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL DraftKings betting picks for Week 5
Across the sports betting market, there tends to be strong uniformity in NFL sides, totals and moneylines — but not total uniformity. Using our NFL odds page to lineshop, I’ve identified the following three lines that right now offer the most value at DraftKings Sportsbook relative to the rest of the market. For my best Week 4 […]
FTN Staff
NFL
Bets
Top 3 NFL Caesars betting picks for Week 5
Caesars Sportsbook recently acquired William Hill, and their experience has improved at least tenfold since. William Hill was known for their speed to markets on prop betting and wide variety of options. They have great odds boosts every day. If you are looking for a new book or looking for a reason to move some […]
Eliot Crist