NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 21
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-114).
Pros
- The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This week, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.6 rush attempts.
- After making up 40.9% of his team’s run game usage last season, Isiah Pacheco has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now comprising 65.7%.
- When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the best in the NFL last year.
- Isiah Pacheco has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (74.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).
Cons
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Chiefs are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.0% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- This year, the daunting Ravens run defense has given up a meager 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 7th-fewest in the league.
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Baltimore’s unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
77
Rushing Yards
77
Rushing Yards
