NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tanner HudsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Tanner Hudson’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Bengals may take to the air less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Jake Browning.
- At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (66.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.
- In this week’s game, Tanner Hudson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets.
- Tanner Hudson has totaled significantly more air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
- With a bad 3.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson places as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league in space.
- This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a mere 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
