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Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

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Travis Etienne

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Titans vs. Jaguars

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-112) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

Pros

  • This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
  • This week, Travis Etienne is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
  • Travis Etienne has been a more important option in his team’s ground game this year (63.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.6%).
  • Travis Etienne has picked up 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (86th percentile).
Cons

  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 41.5% of their downs: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
  • Travis Etienne’s 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a material drop-off in his rushing talent over last season’s 5.1 rate.
  • The Titans defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards

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