Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan'Dale Robinson from EV Insight

Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 30.5 (-105).

Pros

The Giants will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Wan’Dale Robinson to earn 6.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Cons

The Giants have been the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.
Wan’Dale Robinson has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Wan’Dale Robinson’s 6.7 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 7.9 mark.
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Wan’Dale Robinson has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football in picking up extra yardage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards