Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ty Chandler from EV Insight

Ty ChandlerRushing Yards

Right now, Ty Chandler’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-110).

Pros

At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.
The projections expect Ty Chandler to be a more integral piece of his offense’s running game in this game (60.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.2% in games he has played).

Cons

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Nick Mullens this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This week’s line indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Vikings as the 3rd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 35.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 88.0 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards