Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 278.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by the model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
- The Washington Commanders defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.
- Dak Prescott’s 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a material gain in his throwing skills over last season’s 241.0 figure.
- With a stellar 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Dak Prescott rates as one of the most on-target QBs in football.
Cons
- An extreme running game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge 13.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
253
Passing Yards
253
Passing Yards
