Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kylen Granson from EV Insight

Kylen GransonReceiving Yards

Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-120/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-120) after it opened @ 20.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 61.1% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 138.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The model projects Kylen Granson to notch 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
This year, the feeble Texans defense has allowed a colossal 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst in the league.

Cons

Kylen Granson’s receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 77.7% to 64.5%.
This year, the formidable Texans pass defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a measly 3.8 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards