NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jerry JeudyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Broncos vs. Chargers
Right now, Jerry Jeudy’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-131) after it opened @ 41.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Broncos may take to the air less in this week’s contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.7 per game) this year.
- The projections expect Jerry Jeudy to garner 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
- Jerry Jeudy’s 52.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 78th percentile for wide receivers.
- The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- With a 3.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.
- Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 127.5 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
- The Broncos have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
- Jerry Jeudy’s 45.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates an impressive diminishment in his receiving skills over last year’s 63.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
