Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 72.5 (-110) after it opened @ 79.5 (-110).

Pros

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are forecasted by the model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Michael Pittman has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69%) versus wideouts this year (69.0%).

Cons

A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Las Vegas’s unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
89
Receiving Yards