Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kylen Granson from EV Insight

Kylen GransonReceiving Yards

Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-130/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 15.5 (-130) after it opened @ 15.5 (-120).

Pros

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are forecasted by the model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kylen Granson has accumulated far more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
This year, the shaky Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up a colossal 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

Cons

A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
Kylen Granson’s 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season’s 77.7% rate.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Las Vegas’s unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
23
Receiving Yards