Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Nico Collins from EV Insight

Nico CollinsReceiving Yards

Right now, Nico Collins’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-110).

Pros

At the present time, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 8.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Nico Collins has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
The Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.1%) to WRs this year (71.1%).

Cons

The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
88
Receiving Yards