NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
C.J. StroudPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Texans vs. Titans
Right now, C.J. Stroud’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (-141/+110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 249.5 (+110) after it opened @ 257.5 (-113).
Pros
- At the present time, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- With an exceptional tally of 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), C.J. Stroud has been as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.
- C.J. Stroud profiles as one of the best per-play passers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 90th percentile.
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the league against the Titans defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- With a lackluster 61.4% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud places as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the league.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
287
Passing Yards
287
Passing Yards
