NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-120).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 41.2% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
- With an outstanding tally of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the leading running backs in football this year.
Cons
- A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 38.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
- When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Dallas’s collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
