Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight

Jared GoffPassing Yards

Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-110).

Pros

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
With an excellent tally of 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the top QBs in football this year.

Cons

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
This year, the strong Cowboys defense has given up a feeble 199.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-fewest in the league.
This year, the strong Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards