NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-125) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
- With a terrific 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (94th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta has been among the top TE receiving threats in the league.
Cons
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
- This year, the daunting Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a meager 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
