NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 274.5 yards (-148/+112).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 274.5 (+112) after it opened @ 281.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 130.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
- The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Dak Prescott has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (268.0) this season than he did last season (241.0).
Cons
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
- This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a measly 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
319
Passing Yards
319
Passing Yards
