NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (96.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).
Cons
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
- This year, the strong Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded a paltry 125.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 5th-best in football.
- This year, the daunting Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 57.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
90
Receiving Yards
90
Receiving Yards
