NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Browns vs. Jets
Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Jets will be starting backup QB Trevor Siemian in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- Tyler Conklin checks in as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an exceptional 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
Cons
- Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
- When talking about pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
- The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. tight ends this year.
- This year, the imposing Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.6 yards.
- When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland’s group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
