Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice from EV Insight

Rashee RiceReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-120/-100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-120) after it opened @ 64.5 (-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to total 9.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
The predictive model expects Rashee Rice to be a more integral piece of his team’s passing attack in this game (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.0% in games he has played).
With an impressive 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (83rd percentile) this year, Rashee Rice stands as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.2%) versus wideouts this year (69.2%).

Cons

This week’s line implies an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10.5 points.
The weather forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards