Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight

Logan ThomasReceiving Yards

Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

A passing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
With respect to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.41 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
Logan Thomas has accumulated a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) to TEs this year (68.6%).
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards