Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Nick Mullens from EV Insight

Nick MullensPassing Yards

Right now, Nick Mullens’s passing yards prop is set at 257.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 257.5 (-110) after it opened @ 253.5 (-110).

Pros

The Minnesota Vikings may pass less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
With an exceptional 76.4% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Nick Mullens rates among the most accurate passers in the NFL.

Cons

This year, the imposing Lions defense has conceded a puny 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-best rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
316
Passing Yards